Zack Greinke Turns in His Best Start Yet

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Zack Greinke turned in his best start as a Brewer by just about any measure, holding Tampa Bay to just four hits and a run while striking out ten. How much better was he on Tuesday night compared to his other starts, though? Just looking at a couple measures:

Game Score (50 is the starting point)
6/21 vs TB – 75
5/25 vs WSN – 64
5/9 vs SDP – 63
6/6 @ FLA – 60
6/11 vs STL – 60
5/31 @ CIN – 55
5/20 vs COL – 49
5/4 @ ATL – 39
5/15 vs PIT – 39
6/16 @ CHC – 32

The problem with the Game Score is that it’s pretty rudimentary and subjective — you add and subtract values based on some things that aren’t entirely in the pitcher’s control (like hits and runs allowed, both earned and unearned). What about Win Probability Added — where does Tuesday’s start rank among his others?

WPA (0.00 is the starting point, 1.00 is a full win added)
6/21 vs TB – 0.322
5/9 vs SDP – 0.121
5/25 vs WSN – 0.109
5/31 @ CIN – 0.104
6/6 @ FLA – 0.072
6/11 vs STL – 0.014
5/15 vs PIT – -0.135
5/20 vs COL – -.234
5/4 @ ATL – -.245
6/16 @ CHC – -.503

Greinke’s start against the Rays was his third 10-K outing of the year in just 10 starts. He has three more starts in which he struck out 9 batters. To compare, Yovani Gallardo has one 10-K outing this year and two 9-K outings. Of course, Greinke has some work to do to catch up to Gallardo’s 2010 season: two 12-K starts, one 11-K start, and four 10-K starts.

With 10 more strikeouts against the Rays, Greinke’s season total is now up to 80 in just 60.1 innings. That’s 11.98 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched. The single season Brewers record is Ben Sheets‘ 10.025 K/9 in 2004.

Yeah. Greinke is on pace to obliterate the team record set in one of the most dominant pitching years in team history. I’d say he’s done pretty well so far, no?

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